Sesagoa

As we can see 263 will now act as the pivot for Sesagoa ...short if stays below for target 257-254...Go long if sustains above for trgt 267-272 ...SL would be 3 points

Major hurdle at 5180-5200 range

I had posted a short- long term view on 3rd feb , In that post I had mentioned about the significance of the 4700-4538 support range with help of weekly chart . Nifty did manage to breach the first support of 4700 and made low at 4675 but couldnt able to close below 4700 for a single day ,Nifty reversed the direction from that level and now trading at 5080 odd level .

I did mention about entering longs for a mega bull wave in the same post also with target 5800-6300 and above .

Here are some concerns regarding the bullish move :

1) Nifty have formed a small RHS pattern during this move and fortunately we were able to pick the pattern before time and accordingly . This pattern has trgts of 5000-5060-5175 and may be above 5310 . Price wise and timewise this is a very small pattern which might not hold above 5310 and weaken Nifty.

2) 5180 has been acting as major hurdle , Thrice Nifty has reversed from 5180 level and have fallen remarkably for 700,350 and 250 . Though the second reversal was from 5138 level . so 5138 also can block the move .

So stay cautious as this would (as I hope) last chance for bears to take control for major correction .We wil even find for resistance above this level also such as 5310-5450 . Res and Supp do creep in but we have to spot the important ones .

I will surely post if find anything interesting

Happy Trading

RHS on Nifty

RHS at work - As we can see from above chart , a distinct RHS is in formation .Neckline comes around 4920-40 range . above neckline Nifty can shoot to 5000-5060-5175 and possibly making a new high above 5310 . I would advise to go long above 4920-40 range . The buy signal is not yet formed convincingly on 3-13 ema also , so wait for 4920-40 for buying

Renuka - due for major correction

Tata Steel

Its breakdown, breakout counter ...pivot point is 515-525.....watch out :)

SHORT/LONG TERM VIEW

SHORT / LONG TERM VIEW

As we can see in the weekly chart ,Nifty retraced from the 52 week high by more than 61.8% viz 4828 making a low at 4766 .This looks like a part of corrective wave ,here Nifty might test 4974-5038 or maybe 5100 before start declining again .After testing these levels it might test recent low . No worries till 4700 is not breached , But the real problem will start only below 4538 which comes as the low of 4th major wave . below 4538 this wave will turn out into a major corrective wave of the total 0-5 pattern shown above threatening with targets such as 3500 or below.

Now if Nifty doesnt breach 4700 -4538 zone then we will be getting an opportunity to enter for fifth mega wave which has targets 5800-6300 and above .I would suggest to hold long term deliveries and keep trading in 4800-5100 zone .This is a short to long term view for a period of 3-9 months

Nifty Short Term View

5050-4970 range is major support as of now ...Two scenarios are likely

1) Nifty holds this support and bounces to reach 5150-5250 range .....5251 comes as the 61.8 % of wave march to 12 june which may be the intermediate of current rally and consolidate in a very small range for 1-3 months , above 5251 Nifty will start its fresh ride towards 6k mark . ...

2) If Nifty breaches 4970-5050 support range it can fall upto 4650-4500 ...around this level Nifty behavior will show us the way ...



so short / long term players watch out 4970-5050 and 5150-5250 levels